“it's difficult for pollsters to model an open primary, in which voters can participate in either party's primary regardless of their registration.

“200 Democrats are running for reelection in primaries and almost every one of them had a younger challenger

“The bulk of my research is looking at US House primaries, and I think you could probably draw similar conclusions for Senate primaries, except that in most cases, Senate primaries have way more information. So in the case of Michigan, I think people knew largely what the choices were. And after you get to that stage, largely through money and advertising and voter outreach, and campaigning, after that point, money might matter less because voters become more familiar with choices. But this is a really steep hurdle in most congressional primaries.

“I’m not a Democrat.

“Democrats always get “very excited over any Democratic candidates who appear to be heterosexual white males, since that is such a declining part of the Democr

“As the most powerful Republican in state government, Demuth used her narrow share of power in the tied House to secure spending cuts, repeal state health care coverage for undocumented adults and block gun control measures.

“Karoline will now be one of my top outside advisors, and an influential voice within the Republican Party

“Hong ran an inspirational grassroots campaign that mobilized people around key issues like data centers, but her failure to advertise in the final days probably cost her the election